In a forthcoming book, they argue that the collapse of advanced-country growth is not merely a result of the financial crisis; at its root, they argue, these countries’ weakness reflects secular stagnation in technology and innovation. As such, they are unlikely to see any sustained pickup in productivity growth without radical changes in innovation policy.
Category: Economics
Strawberry Fields – Forever?
As John Lennon forewarned, it is getting harder to be someone, and harder to maintain the economic growth that investors have become accustomed to. The New Normal, like Strawberry Fields will “take you down” and lower your expectation of future asset returns. It may not last “forever” but it will be with us for a long, long time.
France Is Running Out of Time to Restrain Germany
So, the argument goes: from now on, Germany is only looking out for its national interests and it is not interested in Europe any more.
The Next Round of Derivatives Regulation
The trouble is, derivatives rules are weaker or nonexistent elsewhere, making the call for substituted compliance either a tactic to delay enforcement until the rest of the world updates its regulations or, worse, an attempt to avoid tough regulation altogether.
Beware the Smart Money: Hedge Funds Issue Sell Signal
So, what is the moral here? It may be that hedge fund money — the so-called smart money — is not as smart as it’s cracked up to be. This contrarian indicator is not so different from those that track individual investors. Many market pros like to say when individuals become more bullish or confident, it signals a market top.