“It was tried in 1929, the IMF tried it in Asia and Latin America. Each time it succeeded in turning downturns into recessions, recessions into depressions.”
Category: Economics
What If Google Had a Hedge Fund?
Google may not have a hedge fund, but it’s unlikely that high IQ hedge funds aren’t using Google’s data to better manage their own situational awareness and risk.
Learning From Past Crises: Into The Safety Zone
There are limitations to what we can learn from the past, if the world has changed or the Eurozone is special. The Eurozone is special because individual countries cannot count on the central bank acting as lender of last resort to the sovereign. This makes self-fulfilling crises possible, since high spreads (say because of an expectation of Eurozone breakup) make sovereign defaults more likely.
Lehman Brothers: Four Operating Principles
How Oliver Wyman Manipulated The Spanish Bank Bailout Analysis
That fudge factor is what is known as “excess capital buffer”, whose usage in the model to plug a major capital shortfall gap is non-sensical and shows that the real funding needs of Spain’s banks will be far greater, even absent future deterioration.
Abnormal Capitalist 